Monday 30 November 2015

the Sensex ended up 17.47 points at 26145.67

the Sensex ended up 17.47 points at 26145.67 and the Nifty slipped 7.45 points at 7935.25. About 1620 shares have advanced, 1085 shares declined, and 209 shares are unchanged. Bajaj Auto, M&M, Infosys, Tata Motors and ICICI Bank were top gainers while Bharti Airtel, NTPC, Vedanta, Coal India and Sun Pharma were losers in the Sensex. 

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The MCX Crude Oil December futures have extended


The MCX Crude Oil December futures have extended losses for the fourth day in a row, as concerns about a global supply. Following almost 2 percent drop in the past two trading sessions, the energy futures started the day marginal in red at Rs 2,815 per barrel, but soon drifted lower, on the back of fresh selling.

The commodity plunged below Rs 2,800 to hit a low of Rs 2,798.

Now, MCX Crude Oil December future rates are down almost a percent (Rs 23) at Rs 2,798.

So far, the counter has witnessed huge trades of around 15,340-odd lots, while the open interest has jumped over 13 percent to 3,485-odd lots. In the global market, the NYMEX Crude Oil January 2016 futures are quoted at $ 41.63 - down 0.2 percent.

Sunday 29 November 2015

Asia shares fall on China caution, yuan jumpy ahead of IMF decision

Asian shares fell on Monday as Chinese stocks extended last week's sharp losses, while the yuan bounced in volatile trade hours ahead of an IMF decision on whether to promote it to a basket of global reserve currencies.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.7 percent, and was on course to log a loss of about 2.7 percent for the month of November, after making its first gains in six months in October.
Japan's Nikkei dropped 0.4 percent, though still looked set for a monthly gain of more than 3 percent.
Mainland Chinese shares opened slightly higher but then sank 1.7 percent, after posting their biggest one-day drops in more than three months on Friday.
Market sentiment remained shaky due to the resumption of IPOs, renewed efforts by the securities regulator to clamp down on leveraged buying and concerns about the cooling economy.
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EQUITY MARKET NEWS UPDATE 30 NOV. 2015

The second quarter FY16 gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to come in at around 7.5 percent, compared to around 7 percent on a quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) basis. It compares to 8.4 percent same quarter last year. The range for the GDP figure is anywhere between 7.3 percent and 7.6 percent. 

The gross value added (GVA) is also expected to come in at around 7.5 percent versus 7.1 percent QoQ and the range is anywhere between 7.3 percent and 7.6 percent as well. In terms of sectors, agriculture is expected to see a slowdown on a QoQ basis possibly because of the lesser or deficit monsoon. It is hence expected to come in at around 1.1 percent and the range is anywhere between 0.5 percent and 2 percent this time. 

Industries, including construction, may come in at around 6.9 percent versus 6.5 percent QoQ. In fact, looking at the index of industrial production (IIP) data this time, it was indicative of the fact that maybe industries would be better for GDP this time. In terms of a couple of estimates within the industries, manufacturing is expected to lead the way with a growth of over 7 percent. Electricity is also expected to do much better. Even mining is expected to see a pick up at around 5 percent and around 4 percent on a sequential basis. 

Services, without construction, is expected to maintain its momentum. So around 9 percent compares to around 8.9 percent QoQ and around 10.4 percent on a YoY basis. With regard to private final consumption, which will be basically indicative of how consumption patterns are in the urban space, it is expected to scale up by around 40 bps QoQ to 7.8 percent versus 7.4 percent. 

Government final consumption is expected to come in at around 8 percent versus a 1.2 percent on a QoQ basis. Gross fixed capital formation, which is indicative of how capex is doing in the economy, is expected to pick up to around 6.9 percent versus 4.9 percent QoQ.

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GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE & OPENING BELL 30 NOV. 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE- 

SGX NIFTY 7946.00 (-19.00)
NASDAQ 5127.52 (11.38)
NIKKEI 19807.43 (-76.51),
SHANGHAI COMP 3410.96(-25.34),
HANG SENG 22021.33 (-46.99)

CV OPENING BELL- 

NIFTY SPOT OPEN GAP DOWN AT 7936.25 (-6.45)
R1-7974.85,
R2-8000,
S1-7895,
S2-7847, and

NIFTY BANK OPEN GAP DOWN AT 17336 (-34.00)
R1-17380
R2-17450
S1-17145, and S2-16920

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Friday 27 November 2015

Shares of SKS Microfinance jumped 6 percent intraday

Shares of SKS Microfinance jumped 6 percent intraday on Friday as Reserve Bank of India has raised borrower limit for short duration loan less than 24 months. In a booster for the industry, the RBI has raised cap on short-term loans (less than 24 months) by NBFC-MFIs to Rs 30000 from Rs 15000. As a result, SKS Microfinance has slashed interest rate by 1 percent charged to borrowers to 19.75 percent from 20.75 percent with effect from December 7, 2015, for all future disbursals.

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Thursday 26 November 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE- 27 nov 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE-

SGX NIFTY 7822.00 (-29.50)
NASDAQ 5102.48 (-2.44)
NIKKEI 19863.51 (-16.30)
SHANGHAI COMP 3577.80(-32.51)
HANG SENG 22515.94 (-149.96)


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Top Corporate News Update 26 Nov. 2015

The Nifty ended up 52 points or 0.7 percent at 7884 on November F&O series expiry. The Sensex was up 182.89 points or 0.7 percent at 25958.63. About 1610 shares have advanced, 1058 shares declined, and 227 shares were unchanged. Tata Motors, Sun Pharma, GAIL, Reliance and M&M are top gainers in the Sensex. Among losers are Dr Reddy's Labs, Bajaj Auto, TCS, Lupin and HDFC Bank.

Shares of Dr Reddy's Labs slumped 10 percent intraday on Thursday after US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) released details of the warning letter issued to the pharma major. The warning letter was issued after inspection of three Dr Reddy’s facilties- unit VI of Srikakulam Plant, unit V in Miryalguda Taluk, Telengana and unit VII in Duvvada, Vishakapatnam. In a strongly worded letter, the regulator said that several violations are recurrent or represent long-standing failures and it is apparent co has not implement a robust quality system at the sites. The stock has already lost around 25 percent in November month. 

Shares of Hero MotoCorp were up 1.5 percent intraday on Thursday. The US private equity firm Bain Capital will sell shares in Hero MotoCorp via block deal to raise as much as USD 116 million. Bain launched the deal to sell 2.98 million Hero shares in the indicative price band of between Rs 2,570 and Rs 2,600, says Reuters. After the deal, Bain will earn almost double of its investment made in Hero Moto four years ago. In March 2008, Bain Capital bought 8.6 percent stake in Hero Moto for USD 550 million (Rs 2500 crore ) in June 2014. Bain sold 2.84 percent stake for  Rs 1481 crore in first tranche in Nov 2014, Bain sold 4.27 percent  stake for Rs 2500 crore in second tranche. It also earned Rs 320 crore dividend since 2011. 

Tuesday 24 November 2015

TOP MARKET NEWS UPDATE 24 NOV. 2015

The market ended lower as the Sensex was down 43.60 points or 0.2 percent at 25775.74. The Nifty fell 17.65 points or 0.2 percent at 7831.60. About 1475 shares advanced, 1186 shares declined, and 196 shares were unchanged.

HUL, HDFC, Reliance, Bharti Airtel and ONGC were top gainers while Maruti was down 2 percent. Bajaj Auto, L&T, NTPC and Sun Pharma were major losers in the Sensex.

Shares of Bosch  slipped 3.5 percent intraday on Tuesday. Credit Suisse has initiated coverage on the stock with an underperform rating and a target price of Rs 15300 per share indicating 20 percent downside potential. It expects the company to clock a medium-term revenue growth trajectory of mid-teens only. Its FY17 earnings estimate is 12 percent below consensus

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Thursday 19 November 2015

MARKET UPDATE | Sensex, Nifty open flat | BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty | equity markets

In the 50-share index, GAIL, Dr Reddy’s, Wipro, Hero MotCorp and TCS were up between 0.40 per cent and 2.90 per cent in the early trade. Bosch, Cairn India, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank and Idea Cellular were down between 0.59 per cent and 2.51 per cent. Nifty was down 12 points at 7,830.

The BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty opened on a flat note on Friday tracking global markets. Sensex opened 14.21 points up at 25,856, while Nifty opened 0.85 points down at 7841.90.


The sugar stocks are likely to remain under pressure, on report that India’s sugar production rose by 33 per cent to 7.61 lakh tonnes till November 15th in the current marketing year on higher output from Maharashtra.

The US markets made a modestly lower closing in last session, the trade remained lackluster digesting the latest batch of US economic news, while there was modest drop in initial jobless claims, there was slightly bigger than expected increase in the index of leading economic indicators of Conference Board.

The Dow Jones industrial average on Thursday also fell 4.41 points, or 0.02 per cent, to 17,732.75. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index slipped 2.34 points, or 0.1 per cent, to 2,081.24. The Nasdaq composite lost 1.56 points, or 0.03 per cent, to 5,073.64.

The Baltic Index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities and is viewed as a good reflection of the health of world trade, also fell to a record low, having fallen 58.8 per cent from its peak this year. Back home, equity markets showed marvelous performance on Thursday, supported by government announced spate of policy reforms and hopes that US Fed’s rate hike will be gradual.


The 30-share Sensex ended up by 359.40 points, or 1.41 per cent, at 25,841.92 — its biggest single-day gain since October 5. The broad-based NSE Nifty reclaimed the 7,800-level before settling at 7,842.75, up 110.95 points, or 1.43 per cent.

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Wednesday 18 November 2015

Shares of Amtek Auto rallied 8 percent intraday Thursday as a media report

"The various options include a minority stake-sale of upto 25-40 percent in overseas business. During the process, the company have received a large number of enquirers for the outright purchase of a couple of the company's overseas businesses which include for instance Tekfor group.

The interest for this has come from trade players and FINANCIAL players around the globe. As mentioned there are several options and it is a matter of right value-opportunity that will determine the eventual decision," it explained. So far it has not yet announced its September quarter earnings after reporting huge loss for the first time in preceding quarter.

The debt-ridden Amtek Auto had reported a loss of Rs 157.6 crore in June quarter against profit of Rs 129.82 crore in March quarter and profit of Rs 86.08 crore in year-ago period due to weak European operations. 

Revenue in June quarter fell 18.6 percent to Rs 866.32 crore from Rs 1,064.4 crore year-on-year. The STOCK has fallen 82 percent to hit lowest point of the year at Rs 27.35 after weak June quarter earnings but managed to recover after announcement of debt reduction on November 2. As of March 2015, it has debt of Rs 15,169.25 crore on consolidated basis against Rs 14,132.91 crore in previous year.   At 09:32 hours IST, the scrip of Amtek Auto was quoting at Rs 45.20, up Rs 2.15, or 4.99 percent on the BSE.

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Tuesday 17 November 2015

Infosys is seeing persistent weakness in the last 2 weeks

Infosys is seeing persistent weakness in the last 2 weeks. Let us see what is the reason of the fall in Infosys. The company in the second half of this year in yesterday's Concol margin indicated. H1B visas in the US in the new law is proposed to tighten the rules.

Also, IT companies also put pressure on the Paris attack. Indeed, many employees of the company in France and the euro zone in the larger part of the income of the company's earnings. As a result, the company is seeing constant pressure.

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GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE & OPENING BELL 18 NOV. 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE- 


  • SGX NIFTY 7830.50 (-17.50)
  • NASDAQ 4986.02 (1.40)
  • NIKKEI 19785.73 (155.10)
  • SHANGHAI COMP 3610.40(5.60)
  • HANG SENG 22293.24 (28.99)

CV OPENING BELL-

 NIFTY SPOT OPEN GAP DOWN AT 7823.15 (-14.40)

  • R1-7850
  • R2-7880
  • S1-7820
  • S2-7780

NIFTY BANK OPEN UP AT 17108 (-31.00)

  • R1-17155
  • R2-17380
  • S1-17000
  • S2-16930

Shares of HCL Technologies rallied 2.5 percent

Shares of HCL Technologies  rallied 2.5 percent intraday Tuesday as the IT services provider has signed an application development and maintenance contract with Deutsche Bank. Under the terms of agreement, HCL will provide digital solutions, systems integration, product implementation and design, build and test new applications in addition to ongoing application maintenance and support services, the company said in its filing. 

HCL will manage and enhance some of the existing application suites, including corporate banking and securities, global transaction banking, asset and wealth management, and risk, finance and back-office operations across Deutsche Bank group, it added. The program is part of a broader strategic initiative by Deutsche Bank. 

"We look forward to helping them create a high performance banking application portfolio to support their key programmes over the coming years,” said Parag Samarth, corporate vice president – financial services, HCL. At 14:43 hours IST, the scrip of HCL Technologies was quoting at Rs 855.25, up Rs 16.70, or 1.99 percent on the BSE. 

Monday 16 November 2015

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE & OPENING BELL 17 NOV. 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE


  • SGX NIFTY 7868.00 (40.00) 
  • NASDAQ 4984.62 (56.74) 
  • NIKKEI 19706.45 (312.76), 
  • SHANGHAI COMP 3651.89(44.93), 
  • HANG SENG 22435.22 (424.40) 

CV OPENING BELL

NIFTY SPOT OPEN GAP UP AT 7848.75 (42.15)

  • R1-7880
  • R2-7920
  • S1-7820
  • S2-7780

NIFTY BANK OPEN UP AT 17302 (118.00)
  • R1-17380 
  • R2-17450 
  • S1-17200
  • S2-17000



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Sunday 8 November 2015

NIFTY FUTURE | BANK NIFTY FUTURE | 09th NOV. 2015

NIFTY FUTURE

Quarterly results session is going on, lots of companies have presented their results and some have to present. But we are not getting any result which can boost our markets. 

If we see Nifty’s weekly chart we can find that nifty is running in a channel in weekly chart and at present that channel getting resistance from 8300, it is showing that nifty will may go down up to 7400 that will be support of our channel as we can see in the chart.


US federal’s meeting also indicating that they will increase rates in upcoming policy of December, it will be another negative point for our markets.


Bihar legislative assembly election’s result has to come on Sunday if BJP will not come than market will be open gap down on Monday, and chances for BJP are not looking good as per estimations, so we can short nifty for some upcoming sessions form current levels for the targets of 7500 with stop loss of 8380.

Call: Short
CMP: 8111
Initiation Level:  7950
Book Profit (Level 1):7870
Book Profit (Level 2):  7700
Stop Loss: 8100
Conviction Level:  moderate risk
Reason- inverted head and shoulder
Short term Trend: correction
Medium Term Trend: up
For the long term Traders: buy on dips
For Aggressive Traders: SHORT ON HIGH, LONG ON DEEPS
Support:  7400-7900
Resistance- 8100-8300
Duration: 4-5 Days

BANK NIFTY FUTURE

Just like nifty bank nifty is running in a channel in weekly chart, and taking resistance from 18000 level, we can short bank nifty from CMP for the target of 16500 our SL will be 17500. If we talk about quarterly results of the banks just SBI has presented a good result but PNB and Bank Of Baroda’s results was below estimations. Now all eyes will be on Bihar elections results.

Call: Short
CMP:  17315
Initiation Level:  17100
Book Profit (Level 1): 16900
Book Profit (Level 2):  16520
Stop Loss:   17500
Conviction Level: moderate risk
Reasoning- strong support has been broken
Short term Trend:  Recovery
Medium Term Trend: up
For the Traders: buy on deeps
For Aggressive Traders: sell on rise
Support:  16600-16500
Duration: 4-5 Days

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Wednesday 4 November 2015

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE & OPENING BELL 05 NOV. 2015

CV GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE-

  • SGX NIFTY 8047.00 (-19.00)
  • NASDAQ 5142.48 (-2.65)
  • NIKKEI 19122.42 (195.51),
  • SHANGHAI COMP 3516.39(56.75),
  • HANG SENG 23104.03 (50.46)

CV OPENING BELL-

NIFTY SPOT OPEN GAP DOWN AT 8030.35(-9.85)
  • R1-8060,
  • R2-8100,
  • S1-8000,
  • S2-7950,
BANK NIFTY OPEN GAP DOWN AT 17166 (-55.00)
  • R1-17300
  • R2-17400
  • S1-17080,
  • S2-16930
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Tuesday 3 November 2015

TOP LOSERS & TOP GAINERS 3rd nov. 2015

TOP LOSERS:

  • ASIAN PAINTS BY 1.92%
  • TATAMOTORS BY 1.52%
  • ADANI PORTS BY 1.47%
  • TATA STEEL BY 1.34%
  • LUPIN BY 1.32%

TOP GAINERS:

  • NTPC BY 2.26%
    POWER GRID BY 2.09%
    M&M BY 1.99%
    ACC BY 1.97%
    HINDALCO BY 1.73%

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Monday 2 November 2015

MCX Crude Oil Nov Contract rebounded

MCX Crude Oil Nov Contract rebounded from the support zone of 2790 level. It had opened at 2930 level & made weekly high of 3076 level. Crude Oil sustained on high & closed 4.82 % up at 3068 level. The strong movement was due to fall in U.S. oil rig count to 578, least since 2010.& weaker Dollar. For next week, we could see some bullish trend followed by downward movement in coming inventory data. 

Near term fundamentals looking for range-bound movement in Crude oil under the influence of WTI Gasoline & Distillate inventory which is expected to see dips because of seasonal maintenance.

Crude oil Nov contract having support near 2950 to 2930 level. Below 2920, next support is near 2850 & 2800 level.


Resistances are near 3070 to 3100 level. Above 3120, next resistance is near 3150 & 3200 levels. 

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COMEX Silver moved in bearish trend

COMEX Silver moved in bearish trend in the week under the impact of FOMC statement where FED indicated that it could raise interest rate in its December meeting & also slashed its targeted inflation rate to 1.75% from 2%. This pressurized precious metal & it fallen from higher level. Comex Silver is impacted heavily by the U.S.Dollar movement & expected to continue so. 

For next week, we could observe volatile trading session where both side movements probable to happen under the influence of major international economic data & U.S.Dollar movement.

Silver Dec contract having support near 15.20 to 15.15 ounce. Below 15, next support is near 14.30 & major support near 14 ounce.


Resistances are near 15.80 to 16 ounce. Above 16.10, next resistance is near 16.30 ounce. Finally major resistances are near 16.65 ounce.

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Sunday 1 November 2015

FUNDAMENTAL NEWS, MCX Silver Dec Contract moved

FUNDAMENTAL NEWS:  

MCX Silver Dec Contract moved in bearish trend in the week under the impact of FOMC statement where FED indicated that it could raise interest rate in its December meeting & also slashed its targeted inflation rate to 1.75% from 2%. This pressurized precious metal & it fallen from higher level. Silver Dec contract corrected 1632 points from its high of 37975 level & finally closed -1.22% at 36490 level. 

For next week, we could observe volatile trading session where both side movements probable to happen under the influence of major international economic data & U.S.Dollar movement.

Silver Dec contract having support near 36000 to 35950 level. Below 35950, next support is near 35500 & 35300 & major support near 34850 level.


Resistances are near 36840 to 37000 level. Above 37100, next resistance is near 37450 level .Finally major resistances are near 37950 to 38300 levels.

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